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MULTISTRUCTURAL SIMULATION OF PAYBACK PERIOD OF PROJECT DECISIONS

https://doi.org/10.17073/0368-0797-2016-10-746-752

Abstract

The problem of the development of algorithmic supplement for decision-making in the fi eld of investments payback evaluation was formulated and solved based on multi-structured approach. It was proposed to determine the payback of draft according to the forecast variants of its scale, sources and amount of investment. The expected cash flows from the project and the financial condition of the company – the customer’s project. Mathematical model of variant payback period of the project, allowing to carry out turn-based simulation of the accumulation of situational revenue to compensate for the cost-projection was developed. Options of payback period estimates are provided to the person performing the selection of the best options in terms of his preferences. An example of multivariate calculation of the payback period concerning the project of steelmaking production reconstruction is given.

About the Authors

S. M. Kulakov
Siberian State Industrial University, Russia, Novokuznetsk
Russian Federation
Dr. Sci. (Eng.), Professor, Head of the Chair “Automation and Information Systems”


A. I. Musatova
Siberian State Industrial University, Russia, Novokuznetsk
Russian Federation
Senior Lecturer of the Chair “Corporate Economics and Personnel Management”


P. P. Baranov
Siberian State Industrial University, Russia, Novokuznetsk
Russian Federation
Dr. Sci. (Economics), Professor of the Chair “Finance, Accounting and Audit”


R. S. Koinov
Siberian State Industrial University, Russia, Novokuznetsk
Russian Federation
Informatization Leading Specialist


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Review

For citations:


Kulakov S.M., Musatova A.I., Baranov P.P., Koinov R.S. MULTISTRUCTURAL SIMULATION OF PAYBACK PERIOD OF PROJECT DECISIONS. Izvestiya. Ferrous Metallurgy. 2016;59(10):746-752. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.17073/0368-0797-2016-10-746-752

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ISSN 0368-0797 (Print)
ISSN 2410-2091 (Online)